亚行调高中国今年预期增长率至10.4%
 
 
2006年9月7日 星期四
 
亚行调高中国今年预期增长率至10.4%
    ADB upgrades forecasts for Asia growth
 
亚洲开发银行(ADB)昨日调高其对亚太地区发展中国家今年经济增长的预期，原因是该地区（特别是中国和南亚国家）急速增长的投资和出口，抵消了不断飙升的油价和大宗商品价格的影响。
 The Asian Development Bank yesterday raised its economic growth forecast for developing countries in the Asia-Pacific region this year as booming investments and exports, especially in China and south Asia, offset soaring oil and commodity prices.
 
亚行表示，不包括日本在内的亚太地区今年平均国内生产总值(GDP)增幅有望达到7.7%，高于该行今年4月份做出的7.2%的预期。去年该地区的GDP增幅为7.6%。
 It said the region excluding Japan was likely to register an average GDP growth of 7.7 per cent this year, up from its forecast in April of 7.2 per cent. Last year’s GDP growth was 7.6 per cent.
 
亚行首席经济学家艾弗兹•阿里(Ifzal Ali)表示：“由于投资和出口高速增长，中国经济增长提速，这对于此次上调地区经济增长预期有很大的影响。”
 “Acceleration in growth in the People’s Republic of China, due to booming investments and exports, has significantly influenced this regional upward revision,” Ifzal Ali, ADB’s chief economist, said.
 
他补充道：“由于出口增长水平的提高，对南亚三大经济体（孟加拉国、印度和巴基斯坦）的增长预期进行修正，也影响到2006年地区增长预期的上调。”
 He added: “Revisions to the growth forecasts of the three larger south Asian economies – Bangladesh, India and Pakistan – on the back of higher levels of export growth have also fed into the higher 2006 projection.”
 
亚行在其《亚洲发展展望》更新版(Asian Development Outlook Update)中称，由于工业国家的需求不断放缓，加之油价高企，明年该地区43个发展中国家的平均经济增长率可能降至7.1%，略高于该行4月份时7%的预期。
 Next year, average growth in the 43 developing countries making up the region would ease to 7.1 per cent, the ADB said in its Asian Development Outlook Update, marginally higher than its April forecast of 7 per cent, owing to slowing demand from indust- rial countries and high oil prices.
 
亚行表示，中国今年的经济增长率可能达到10.4%，高于亚行早些时候9.5%的预期；而印度经济增长率可能达到7.8%，高于亚行4月份时7.6%的预期。
 China was likely to grow by 10.4 per cent this year compared with the earlier forecast of 9.5 per cent while India would expand by 7.8 per cent, up from the April forecast of 7.6 per cent.
 
总部位于马尼拉的亚行表示，中国目前的当务之急是创造就业机会和缩小收入差距。
 The Manila-based bank said high priorities for China were creating jobs and narrowing the income gap.
 
亚行将东南亚国家今年的增长预期从5.5%下调至5.4%，原因是对马来西亚和泰国经济增长预期的向下修正，抵消了上调菲律宾和新加坡增长预期的影响。
 The ADB pared the growth outlook for south-east Asia from 5.5 per cent to 5.4 per cent this year as downward revisions for Malaysia and Thailand offset upgrades for the Philippines and Singapore.